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Insightful Investing Newsletter October 2004

3rd Quarter Market Recap

Tech was wrecked in the third quarter, dropping over 11%. Real Estate, on the other hand, more than made up for a difficult 2nd quarter with a gain of more than 8%. Stocks lost a little ground in the third quarter, with Large Cap dropping 2% and Small Cap losing 3%. The spurt last quarter by Growth stocks did not last long as these stocks gave up almost 5%, while Value stocks held steady with a 1% gain. The weak dollar helped international stocks finish the quarter just about where they started.Insightful Investing Newsletter Includes A Review of Investment Category Returns Each Month

As expected, the Fed raised short term interest rates a couple of times during the quarter. What surprised the markets was the fact that the increases were only 0.25% instead of the anticipated 0.50%. So instead of Bonds having a poor quarter, they actually gained 3%. High Yield Bonds picked up an even better 4%.

With the price of Oil hovering near $50 a barrel, Natural Resource funds performed well this quarter. We will be looking into these funds in our future reports.

Over the last 5 years, Real Estate has provided investors with annualized returns approaching 20%. Coming in a distant second with just over 7% returns has been Bonds and Small Cap Stocks. During this difficult time for the stock market, being invested in a money market fund has actually proven to be better than anywhere else besides these three categories.

 

3rd Quarter 2004 Fund Review

Our Real Estate funds bounced back strongly in the 3rd Quarter, with Fidelity Real Estate (FRSEX) leading the way with a gain of almost 8.5%. On the other end of the spectrum, we were disappointed with both of the ABN AMRO Funds this quarter, as both of them were down in the 6% range. While this was more than the average fund in their categories, both of these funds were leaders last quarter. This shows that you should always evaluate a fund for longer time periods than just one quarter.

It was a good quarter for all of our bond funds, with Fidelity Capital and Income (FAGIX) and Fidelity Strategic Income (FSICX) with gains of almost 5%.

 

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